NZ vs IND 3rd ODI Match Prediction: India Eye Series Win in Hamilton

India stand one win away from sealing the five-match ODI series when they face New Zealand in the third ODI at Seddon Park in Hamilton on Tuesday. Both games so far were rain-affected and decided by the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method, and the forecast suggests the third could follow the same script. Shubman Gill plays his final ODI of the tour before leaving to prepare for the Tests, while the injury-hit hosts must win to keep the series alive.

This is the biggest match of the series so far. A win gives India an unassailable 3-0 lead with two games to spare, mirroring what they did in the T20I series. A New Zealand win drags the contest to Mount Maunganui and keeps the hosts in the hunt. Here is our full NZ vs IND 3rd ODI match prediction, with the pitch report, probable playing XIs, key battles and the pick.

NZ vs IND 3rd ODI Match Details and Live Telecast

Detail	Information
Match	New Zealand vs India, 3rd ODI
Date	Tuesday, 10 November
Venue	Seddon Park, Hamilton
Start time	3:00 PM local time (NZDT), 7:30 AM IST
Series	India tour of New Zealand, five-match ODI series
Series score	India lead 2-0
Live telecast in India	Sony Sports Network
Live streaming in India	SonyLIV app and website; DD Sports on DD Free Dish
Live telecast in New Zealand	Sky Sport

India Lead 2-0 After Two Rain-Hit DLS Wins

Both matches of this series so far have been cut short by rain, and both have gone India’s way on DLS. In the first ODI at Eden Park on November 4, New Zealand were bowled out for 185 in 40.2 overs, with Tim Seifert top-scoring on 38 and Arshdeep Singh taking 4 for 70. Rain during the chase revised India’s target to 143 in 32 overs, and Virat Kohli’s 74 off 51 balls carried the visitors to a five-wicket win with 56 balls to spare.

The second ODI in Wellington on November 7 was even tighter. New Zealand were dismissed for just 134 in 41 overs of a match already reduced to 47 overs a side. Daryl Mitchell’s sedate 55 off 104 balls was the only resistance as Gurnoor Brar claimed a career-best 4 for 30 and was named Player of the Match. India slipped to 113 for 7 in 26 overs in reply, with Shreyas Iyer scoring 30 and KL Rahul unbeaten on 26, when the rain returned and never relented. India were four runs ahead of the DLS par score of 109, and the match was called off, giving India a four-run win.

Seddon Park Pitch Report and Hamilton Weather Forecast

The weather is the first problem in Hamilton. The city was wet on Saturday, more rain is forecast for Monday and for the match itself, and Seddon Park head groundsman Karl Johnson has told ESPNcricinfo that the “forecast isn’t great for tomorrow and matchday is not flash either”. He expects the pitch to spend long spells under the covers, and with the surface sweating underneath, preparation has been rushed.

Johnson said the unusually wet start to November is the main reason the first two ODI pitches behaved the way they did. At Eden Park and in Wellington there was seam movement and steep, uneven bounce, and New Zealand batted first both times without getting past 41 overs. His aim in Hamilton is a surface that stays the same for 100 overs, with little help for the seamers, but the forecast may not allow it.

Recent ODI first-innings scores at Seddon Park have hovered near 240-245, and chasing sides have fared better at the venue. The square boundaries are compact, roughly 60 to 65 metres, which tempts stroke-makers. The hourly forecast offers little relief: the probability of rain is around 83 per cent at 1:00 PM local time and still roughly 68 per cent at the 3:00 PM start, with total rainfall across Tuesday expected to exceed 25 mm. A shortened contest decided by the DLS method looks the most likely outcome, and if persistent rain prevents a ball from being bowled, the match will be abandoned, since there is no reserve day in a bilateral series.

Seddon Park also holds one bad ODI memory for India, from January 2019, when they were bowled out for 92 in the fourth ODI — Trent Boult took 5 for 21 — and New Zealand won by eight wickets in 14.4 overs.

New Zealand Team Preview: Injuries Force Changes as Hosts Fight for Survival

New Zealand have lost both games and are short of batters. Devon Conway is out of the rest of the ODI series with concussion, and Rachin Ravindra and Mark Chapman are missing the ODIs altogether. Lockie Ferguson has been ruled out of the fourth and fifth ODIs with a low-grade right-calf tear from the T20I series, while Blair Tickner must sit out the third and fourth matches under the ICC’s mandatory seven-day concussion stand-down after being hit while batting in Wellington.

Nick Kelly has been called up as cover, and New Zealand have named a 14-man squad for the third ODI: Mitchell Santner (captain), Michael Bracewell, Kristian Clarke, Jacob Duffy, Matt Fisher, Kyle Jamieson, Nick Kelly, Tom Latham (wicketkeeper), Daryl Mitchell, Henry Nicholls, Glenn Phillips, Tim Seifert, Nathan Smith and Will Young.

The hosts’ batting has been the problem. They have not batted 41 overs in either game, and only Mitchell has passed fifty in the series. Seifert and Phillips carry the boundary-hitting threat, and Santner’s all-round value grows on a damp surface, but the top order must find a way to survive Brar’s opening burst. Duffy, with six wickets, has been their best bowler, and Jamieson took 3 for 35 in Wellington.

New Zealand Probable Playing XI

Tim Seifert, Will Young, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner (C), Michael Bracewell, Tom Latham (WK), Nathan Smith, Kyle Jamieson, Jacob Duffy. Nick Kelly, Matt Fisher and Kristian Clarke are the cover options if the hosts want a fresh face.

India Team Preview: Gill’s Farewell ODI, Siraj in Line for a Return

India’s bowling has won this series so far. Brar’s seven wickets, Kamboj’s control and Arshdeep’s swing have kept New Zealand under 190 in both games, and the attack looks well suited to another damp morning in Hamilton. The batting, though, was far from convincing in Wellington, where India slipped to 47 for 4 and then 113 for 7 chasing a modest total. Rohit, Kohli and Gill will want a fuller, more assured performance before the captaincy changes hands.

This is Gill’s last ODI of the tour. He leaves after Hamilton to get ready for the two Tests, which start at the Basin Reserve in Wellington on November 19, and Shreyas Iyer takes over as captain for the last two games at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on November 13 and 15. The team management could rest one of the four pacers who played in the first two matches and include Mohammed Siraj, with Kuldeep Yadav also in line for a return if the surface offers any turn.

India Probable Playing XI

Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill (C), Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul (WK), Axar Patel, Naman Dhir, Anshul Kamboj, Auqib Nabi, Gurnoor Brar, Mohammed Siraj.

Key Battles That Will Decide the Third ODI

Gurnoor Brar vs New Zealand’s top order

Brar has been the bowler of the series, with three wickets at Eden Park and then 4 for 30 in Wellington. His height and bounce have troubled every New Zealand batter, and with the new ball in overcast Hamilton conditions, the first ten overs could decide the match.

Virat Kohli vs Jacob Duffy and Kyle Jamieson

Kohli is India’s leading run-scorer in the series with 81 runs, including the match-winning 74 in Auckland. Duffy has six wickets and Jamieson took 3 for 35 in Wellington, and both will test Kohli with seam movement early.

Daryl Mitchell vs India’s pace attack

Mitchell is New Zealand’s leading run-scorer in the series with 83 runs and the only batter to reach fifty, with his 55 off 104 balls in Wellington holding the innings together. He is also the hosts’ most reliable player of pace, and India will target him early knowing the batting around him has been fragile.

Glenn Phillips vs the Indian spinners

Phillips is New Zealand’s most destructive batter and the man most likely to exploit Seddon Park’s short square boundaries. Axar Patel and, if he plays, Kuldeep Yadav will be key to keeping him quiet in the middle overs, especially if the game is shortened and every ball carries extra value.

Recent Meetings Between the Two Sides

India won the five-match T20I series that preceded these ODIs by 3-2, with New Zealand winning the final game in Hamilton by seven wickets after Glenn Phillips’ unbeaten 65. In this ODI series, India have won both games on DLS, by five wickets in Auckland and by four runs in Wellington. The momentum, the bowling form and the series situation all favour the visitors, but New Zealand’s win in the final T20I at this very ground is a reminder that Hamilton can bite.

NZ vs IND 3rd ODI Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

India should win this match and seal the series 3-0. Their bowling attack has been far superior in the conditions seen so far, Brar is in career-best form, and New Zealand’s injury-hit batting has not lasted 41 overs in either game. The hosts need a big improvement with the bat and a much better start with the ball to stay alive.

The one warning is the weather. If the game is reduced to 20 overs a side, one Phillips blitz or a couple of early wickets could flip it. But over any reasonable length of contest, India’s depth and form should carry them through. Expect a shortened game, a low-scoring contest, and India to win it and take an unassailable 3-0 lead into the final two ODIs at Mount Maunganui.

Prediction: India to win the 3rd ODI and seal the series 3-0.

FAQs: NZ vs IND 3rd ODI

When and where is the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI?

The third ODI is on Tuesday, 10 November at Seddon Park in Hamilton. Play starts at 3:00 PM local time, which is 7:30 AM IST.

Where can I watch the NZ vs IND 3rd ODI live in India?

The match will be telecast live on the Sony Sports Network and streamed live on the SonyLIV app and website. DD Sports will also air it on DD Free Dish.

What is the series score after two ODIs?

India lead the five-match series 2-0. They won the first ODI in Auckland by five wickets and the second ODI in Wellington by four runs, both under the DLS method after rain interruptions.

Will rain affect the 3rd ODI in Hamilton?

Rain is very likely. The probability of rain is around 68 per cent at the scheduled start, with more than 25 mm of rain expected across Tuesday. A shortened, DLS-decided contest is the most likely outcome, and there is no reserve day.