NZ vs IND 4th ODI Match Prediction: India Eye Series Win at Bay Oval

India stand one win away from sealing the five-match ODI series when they face New Zealand in the fourth ODI at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui on Friday. The third ODI in Hamilton was abandoned without a ball being bowled, so India still lead 2-0, and a win here would give them an unassailable 3-0 lead with one match to spare. For the first time in the series the forecast is clear, so both sides should finally get a full 50-over contest. Shreyas Iyer leads India for the first time in ODIs, with Shubman Gill and KL Rahul having left for Test preparations, while an injury-hit New Zealand side must win to keep the series alive. Here is our full NZ vs IND 4th ODI match prediction, with the squads, pitch report, probable XIs, key battles and the pick.

NZ vs IND 4th ODI Match Details and Live Telecast

Detail	Information
Match	New Zealand vs India, 4th ODI
Date	Friday, 13 November
Venue	Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Start time	3:00 PM local time (NZDT), 7:30 AM IST
Toss	7:00 AM IST
Series	India tour of New Zealand, five-match ODI series
Series score	India lead 2-0
Live telecast in India	Sony Sports Network
Live streaming in India	SonyLIV app and website; DD Sports on DD Free Dish
Live telecast in New Zealand	Sky Sport

India Lead 2-0 After Two Rain-Hit DLS Wins

Both matches of this series so far have been cut short by rain, and both have gone India’s way on the Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method. In the first ODI at Eden Park on November 4, New Zealand were bowled out for 185 in 40.2 overs, with Tim Seifert top-scoring on 38 and Arshdeep Singh taking 4 for 70. Rain during the chase revised India’s target to 143 in 32 overs, and Virat Kohli’s 74 off 51 balls carried the visitors to a five-wicket win.

The second ODI in Wellington on November 7 was tighter. New Zealand were dismissed for just 134 in 41 overs of a match already reduced to 47 overs a side, with Daryl Mitchell’s 55 off 104 balls the only resistance as Gurnoor Brar claimed a career-best 4 for 30 and was named Player of the Match. India slipped to 113 for 7 in reply, with Shreyas Iyer scoring 30 and KL Rahul unbeaten on 26, when the rain returned. India were four runs ahead of the DLS par score of 109, giving India a four-run win.

The third ODI at Seddon Park in Hamilton on November 10 never got started: persistent rain meant the match was abandoned without a ball being bowled, and the series stayed at 2-0. New Zealand can no longer win the series; the best they can do now is draw it 2-2 by winning both remaining matches at Bay Oval.

India Team News: Iyer Takes Charge as Gill and Rahul Leave for Tests

The biggest change for the final two ODIs is in the leadership. Shubman Gill, who captained India in the first three matches, has left for Wellington to prepare for the two-Test series that begins on November 19, and KL Rahul has gone with him. Shreyas Iyer, who was Gill’s deputy in the first three games, will captain India in ODIs for the first time, with Ishan Kishan named his vice-captain.

Three new faces have joined the squad for the final two matches. Tilak Varma, who was outstanding in the T20I series, comes into the ODI squad, along with uncapped wicketkeeper Kumar Kushagra and fast bowler Yash Thakur. Anshul Kamboj is also unavailable for the final two games, while Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli continue at the top of the order.

India squad for the 4th and 5th ODIs: Shreyas Iyer (captain), Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Tilak Varma, Ishan Kishan (vice-captain and wicketkeeper), Axar Patel, Naman Dhir, Auqib Nabi, Gurnoor Brar, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Arshdeep Singh, Kumar Kushagra (wicketkeeper), Mohammed Siraj, Yash Thakur, Kuldeep Yadav.

New Zealand Team News: Injuries Force Another Reshuffle

Lockie Ferguson has been ruled out of the final two ODIs after failing to recover from the low-grade right-calf tear he picked up during the T20I series. Blair Tickner, who was hit by a ball while batting in the second ODI, must follow the ICC’s mandatory seven-day concussion stand-down, which rules him out of the fourth ODI as well. Devon Conway is also out after his concussion, and Matt Henry is only now returning after the collision with Conway in training on the eve of the series.

Henry is expected to be fit for Mount Maunganui, and he and Kyle Jamieson will stay with the ODI squad for the fourth match instead of joining the Test camp. Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Tom Latham, Henry Nicholls and Nathan Smith have all been rested from the final two ODIs to prepare for the Tests, which leaves the batting looking thin. Uncapped fast bowler Brett Randell, 31, has been added to the squad for the final two matches and could make his international debut on Friday.

New Zealand squad for the 4th ODI: Mitchell Santner (captain), Finn Allen, Michael Bracewell, Kristian Clarke, Jacob Duffy, Matt Fisher, Dean Foxcroft, Mitch Hay (wicketkeeper), Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, Nick Kelly, Brett Randell, Tim Seifert (wicketkeeper), Will Young.

The hosts will lean heavily on Santner, Bracewell and Henry. Finn Allen and Tim Seifert must give New Zealand a fast start, because the middle order without Mitchell and Phillips lacks proven ODI runs.

Bay Oval Pitch Report and Mount Maunganui Weather Forecast

Bay Oval has hosted 13 ODIs, and the numbers point to a good batting surface with consistent bounce. The average first-innings total across the 12 full-length games is 268. New Zealand’s 371 for 7 against Sri Lanka in January 2019 is the highest ODI total here, Thisara Perera’s 140 off 74 balls two days later remains the highest individual score, and the highest successful chase is New Zealand’s 300 for 5 against India in February 2020, when KL Rahul’s 112 was the best ODI score by an Indian batter at the ground. Six of the 13 ODIs have been won batting first and seven chasing, and the last four day-night matches at Bay Oval have all been won by the chasing side.

The weather is the best news of the series for both teams. After three matches shaped by rain, Friday is forecast to be fine in Mount Maunganui, with a high of around 22 degrees Celsius and only a 10 per cent chance of rain. The pitch should also be more batting-friendly than the seam-friendly surfaces in Auckland and Hamilton. India have won two and lost one of their three ODIs at Bay Oval, and the toss could matter given the chasing trend at this ground.

NZ vs IND 4th ODI Probable Playing XIs

India probable XI: Rohit Sharma, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer (captain), Tilak Varma, Ishan Kishan (wicketkeeper), Axar Patel, Naman Dhir, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj. Gurnoor Brar is the most likely change if India want an extra seamer.

New Zealand probable XI: Finn Allen, Tim Seifert (wicketkeeper), Will Young, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (captain), Kristian Clarke, Kyle Jamieson, Matt Henry, Jacob Duffy. Brett Randell could come into the XI for his debut if New Zealand want an extra fast bowler.

Key Battles That Will Decide the 4th ODI

Virat Kohli vs Matt Henry: Kohli’s 74 off 51 balls won the first ODI, and he looked in complete control before the rain arrived. Henry, returning from injury, is New Zealand’s most skilled new-ball bowler, and the first ten overs between these two will set the tone for the match.

Rohit Sharma vs Jacob Duffy: Rohit has had a quiet series by his standards, and Duffy has been New Zealand’s most consistent seamer. Duffy’s ability to move the ball under lights makes him dangerous with the new ball, and Rohit’s response in the powerplay will decide whether India get the fast start their batting is built for.

Shreyas Iyer vs Mitchell Santner: The two captains meet in the middle overs, and this is where the match may be won. Iyer scored 30 in the second ODI and now leads the side, while Santner’s left-arm spin is New Zealand’s best weapon against a strong Indian middle order.

Kuldeep Yadav vs New Zealand’s middle order: With Mitchell and Phillips rested, New Zealand’s middle order is inexperienced at this level. Kuldeep’s wrist spin has been India’s most reliable wicket-taking option in the middle overs, and a couple of quick strikes could leave the hosts well short of a competitive total.

NZ vs IND 4th ODI Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

India should win the fourth ODI and seal the series 3-0. The visitors have the stronger batting by a clear margin, with Rohit, Kohli, Iyer and Tilak Varma all in the XI, and their bowling attack has already dismissed New Zealand for 185 and 134 in this series. New Zealand, by contrast, are missing six frontline players through injury or rest, including their two best ODI batters in Mitchell and Phillips and their two fastest bowlers in Ferguson and Tickner. Add a dry forecast and a batting-friendly Bay Oval surface, and everything points to a full game that India control.

New Zealand’s best hope is the toss and the chasing trend at this ground: the last four day-night matches at Bay Oval have all been won by the side batting second. But that needs Allen and Seifert to fire at the top and Henry to produce a big spell with the new ball. On the balance of the two squads, India are the clear favourites. Our prediction: India to win the fourth ODI and take an unassailable 3-0 series lead.

NZ vs IND 4th ODI FAQs

When is the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?

Friday, 13 November at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui. The match starts at 3:00 PM local time (NZDT), which is 7:30 AM IST, with the toss at 7:00 AM IST.

Where can I watch NZ vs IND 4th ODI live in India?

The match will be telecast on the Sony Sports Network and streamed on SonyLIV, with DD Sports showing it on DD Free Dish.

Who is captaining India in the 4th ODI?

Shreyas Iyer is captaining India for the first time in ODIs, with Ishan Kishan as his vice-captain. Shubman Gill and KL Rahul have left to prepare for the Test series.

What is the series score?

India lead the five-match ODI series 2-0. India won the first ODI by five wickets (DLS) and the second by four runs (DLS), while the third ODI was abandoned without a ball being bowled.

Will rain affect the 4th ODI?

No, the forecast is clear. Friday in Mount Maunganui is expected to be fine with a high of around 22 degrees Celsius and only a 10 per cent chance of rain, so a full 50-over match is expected.