PAK vs ENG 4th ODI Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

Pakistan take on England in the fourth ODI of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series at Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore on Sunday, with the hosts on the verge of the final and the visitors fighting to stay alive. Five days ago in Rawalpindi, Pakistan eased to an 87-run win over these opponents — and England have since endured the most agonising defeat in their ODI history, scoring 429 against Sri Lanka and still losing.

For Harry Brook’s men, this is already a must-win: lose and they are effectively eliminated; win and the race for the October 31 final is thrown wide open. Here is our PAK vs ENG 4th ODI match prediction, pitch report, probable playing 11, head-to-head record and qualification scenarios.

PAK vs ENG 4th ODI match details and live telecast

Match	Pakistan vs England, 4th ODI, Pakistan ODI Tri-Series
Date	Sunday, October 25
Time	1:30 PM IST (toss at 1:00 PM IST)
Venue	Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore
Live telecast (India)	Sony Sports Network
Live streaming (India)	SonyLIV
Live telecast (Pakistan)	PTV Sports
Live streaming (Pakistan)	Tapmad

Pakistan vs England head-to-head ODI record

Pakistan and England have a long ODI rivalry, and recent history favours the hosts in home conditions. In the reverse fixture of this tri-series on October 20 in Rawalpindi, Pakistan posted 302/9 and bowled England out for 215 to win by 87 runs, with Arafat Minhas named Player of the Match for his 59 off 58 with the bat and 6/40 with the ball.

England will take some comfort from their batting against Sri Lanka on October 22, when they piled up 429/4, the highest ODI total ever scored in Pakistan. But losing after posting 429 will have left deep scars, and their bowlers have conceded 730 runs in two matches.

PAK vs ENG 4th ODI pitch report: Gaddafi Stadium Lahore

Gaddafi Stadium has traditionally been a high-scoring ODI venue. Around 90 ODIs have been played here, with teams batting first winning 46 and chasing sides winning 42 — one of the most evenly balanced splits at any major Pakistani ground. The average first-innings score is around 251 and the average second-innings score around 217.

The ground has witnessed some memorable run-fests: Pakistan’s 375/3 is the highest team total, Australia’s famous 356/5 against England is the highest successful chase, and Afghanistan’s Ibrahim Zadran set the venue’s highest individual ODI score with 177 against England in February 2025. Expect a true, flat surface with even bounce that rewards shot-making, and boundaries that are not among the biggest in the world. The new ball may swing early for Shaheen Afridi and Naseem Shah, while spinners can come into the game later as the surface dries. October in Lahore is typically hot and dry, so expect batting-friendly conditions from the first ball.

Pakistan ODI tri-series 2026 points table and qualification scenarios

Team	Played	Won	Lost	NRR	Points
Pakistan	2	2	0	+1.240	4
Sri Lanka	2	1	1	-0.348	2
England	2	0	2	-0.892	0

After three matches, Pakistan sit top with 4 points, Sri Lanka have 2 points from their dramatic win over England, and England are yet to get off the mark. Each team plays four league games and the top two meet in the final on October 31 in Lahore, with net run rate separating teams level on points.

The permutations are simple. A Pakistan win would take them to 6 points and all but seal their place in the final, leaving England effectively out of the tournament. An England victory would blow the race wide open — all three sides would remain in contention with Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Oct 27) and Sri Lanka vs England (Oct 29) still to play. But England’s poor net run rate of -0.892 means they need not just wins but convincing ones.

Pakistan team preview and confirmed squad

Pakistan have been the best side in the tournament so far, winning both matches at Rawalpindi. The 37-run win over Sri Lanka in the opener was built on Salman Ali Agha’s 107, his fourth ODI hundred, before the bowlers defended 305. The 87-run thrashing of England showed their depth: Hasan Nawaz struck 79 off 74, Arafat Minhas scored 59 and then took 6/40, and the seam attack of Shaheen Shah Afridi, Naseem Shah and Haris Rauf never let England breathe.

Captain Shaheen Shah Afridi has enjoyed a strong run since taking charge in 2025, winning eight of twelve ODIs under his leadership, including series victories over South Africa, Sri Lanka and Australia. Babar Azam and Fakhar Zaman provide experience at the top, while the PCB has declared this match its Breast Cancer Awareness Day fixture — the Pakistan team will wear specially designed pink kits with pink stumps in use at Gaddafi Stadium.

Pakistan squad for the ODI tri-series

• Shaheen Shah Afridi (c), Abrar Ahmed, Salman Ali Agha, Arafat Minhas, Babar Azam, Faheem Ashraf, Fakhar Zaman, Muhammad Ghazi Ghori (wk), Haris Rauf, Hasan Nawaz, Naseem Shah, Razaullah, Saad Baig (wk), Saim Ayub, Shadab Khan, Sufiyan Moqim

England team preview and confirmed squad

England arrive in Lahore with their morale on the floor. Two defeats have left them bottom of the table, and the manner of the second one — scoring 429/4 and losing with a ball to spare — will test even the most resilient dressing room. Harry Brook’s astonishing 202 off 116 balls, the fastest ODI double century ever and the first by an England batter, came in a losing cause. Joe Root’s 69 took him past 8,000 ODI runs, the first England player to reach the landmark, while Will Jacks’ 66 not out off 30 and Tom Banton’s 50 showed the batting is in form.

The problem is the bowling. Sri Lanka’s chase of 430 exposed a serious lack of control, and Pakistan’s 302/9 in the previous game was equally damaging. The recall of leg-spinner Mason Crane and the uncapped Sussex pair James Coles and Henry Crocombe underline that this is a developmental squad with an eye on the 2027 World Cup. England are yet to adjust to Pakistani conditions.

England squad for the ODI tri-series

• Harry Brook (c), Gus Atkinson, Sonny Baker, Tom Banton, James Coles, Jordan Cox (wk), Mason Crane, Henry Crocombe, Sam Curran, Liam Dawson, Ben Duckett, Will Jacks, Jamie Overton, Adil Rashid, Joe Root, Josh Tongue

PAK vs ENG 4th ODI probable playing 11

Pakistan probable playing 11

Saim Ayub, Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, Saad Baig, Hasan Nawaz, Salman Ali Agha, Arafat Minhas, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi (c), Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf. Pakistan named this unchanged unit in the reverse fixture and have no reason to tinker, though Shadab Khan and Abrar Ahmed offer spin options if the surface looks dry.

England probable playing 11

Ben Duckett, Jordan Cox, Tom Banton, Joe Root, Harry Brook (c), Will Jacks, Sam Curran, Jamie Overton, Liam Dawson, Gus Atkinson, Josh Tongue. England changed their bowling for the Sri Lanka game, bringing in Dawson and Tongue for Adil Rashid and Sonny Baker, and further rotation is possible as they search for an attack that can contain Pakistan’s batting.

PAK vs ENG 4th ODI key battles

Harry Brook vs Pakistan’s pace attack

Brook is the form batter of the tournament after his record-breaking 202. Shaheen Shah Afridi, Naseem Shah and Haris Rauf will target him with pace and short stuff early on. If Pakistan remove Brook cheaply, England’s middle order suddenly looks fragile.

Arafat Minhas vs England’s top order

The 20-year-old all-rounder dismantled England in Rawalpindi with 6/40 after his 59 with the bat, and his left-arm spin in the middle overs could again be decisive. Duckett and Banton, who both got starts in the reverse fixture, must handle him better this time.

Salman Ali Agha vs England’s spinners

Pakistan’s vice-captain scored a century in the series opener and is the tournament’s leading run-scorer. With England short of proven spin options, Agha can control the middle overs and set up the finishers.

PAK vs ENG 4th ODI match prediction: who will win?

Pakistan start as clear favourites, and the form guide makes it hard to argue otherwise. They have won both matches in this series, their pace attack is settled and firing, their middle order has produced centuries and match-winning all-round performances, and they play at a venue where home advantage counts for plenty.

England’s batting is undeniably in frightening form — no side scores 429 and should be written off. Brook, Root, Banton and Jacks can hurt any attack. But cricket is won by the more balanced side, and England’s bowling has conceded 730 runs in two games.

Pakistan’s bowling has the variety to exploit Gaddafi Stadium’s conditions: Shaheen and Naseem with the new ball, Minhas through the middle, and Rauf at the death. With the bat, their top five have all contributed.

Prediction: Pakistan to win and seal their place in the October 31 final. England’s batting makes them dangerous, but Pakistan’s superior bowling and composure in home conditions should prove decisive once more — just as they did when our PAK vs ENG 2nd ODI prediction backed the hosts in Rawalpindi.

FAQs: PAK vs ENG 4th ODI

When and where is the PAK vs ENG 4th ODI?

Sunday, October 25, at Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore. Toss at 1:00 PM IST, first ball at 1:30 PM IST.

Where can I watch PAK vs ENG 4th ODI live in India?

Live on the Sony Sports Network and streamed on SonyLIV in India. In Pakistan: PTV Sports and Tapmad.

What is the Gaddafi Stadium pitch report?

A high-scoring ODI venue: average first-innings score around 251, with 46 wins batting first and 42 chasing in about 90 ODIs. Expect a flat, batting-friendly surface.

What happens if Pakistan win the 4th ODI?

Pakistan would move to 6 points and all but secure their place in the October 31 final, while England would be effectively eliminated.

Why is Pakistan wearing pink kits against England?

The PCB has declared this match its Breast Cancer Awareness Day fixture, with specially designed pink kits and pink stumps at Gaddafi Stadium.