NZ vs IND 5th ODI Match Prediction: India Look to Seal the Series 3-1 at Bay Oval

India walk into the fifth and final ODI against New Zealand at Bay Oval on Sunday, November 15, with the series still in their hands but their pride badly bruised. The visitors lead 2-1, yet their last outing at this very ground ended in a 244-run hammering, bowled out for just 89 in 26.4 overs. Win on Sunday and India take the series 3-1; lose, and it finishes 2-2 with New Zealand’s proud home record intact. Here is our full NZ vs IND 5th ODI match prediction, with team news, probable XIs, pitch report and our pick.

NZ vs IND 5th ODI Match Details

Detail	Information
Match	New Zealand vs India, 5th ODI
Date	Sunday, November 15, 2026
Venue	Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
Start time	7:30 AM IST (3:00 PM local time)
Toss	7:00 AM IST
Series	India lead the five-match series 2-1
Live telecast in India	Sony Sports Network
Live streaming in India	SonyLIV

India vs New Zealand ODI Series So Far

India won the first two ODIs of the series to take a 2-0 lead. They won the opener in Auckland on November 4, then edged the second ODI in Wellington on November 7 by four runs on the DLS method, with New Zealand posting 134 and India reaching 113 for 7 when the rain closed in. Gurnoor Brar took 4 for 30 and was named Player of the Match in that game, and the win was India’s first ODI victory on New Zealand soil since February 3, 2019.

The third ODI in Hamilton on November 10 was abandoned without a ball being bowled. Then came Friday’s fourth ODI at Bay Oval, where New Zealand piled up 333 all out and India were rolled over for 89. The series now stands at 2-1, and the finale is a genuine decider in all but name.

What Happened in the Fourth ODI at Bay Oval

The fourth ODI is the match India must erase from memory, and the one New Zealand will try to repeat. Shreyas Iyer won the toss and chose to bowl first on the best batting surface of the series. Will Young and Tim Seifert put on 85 for the first wicket, and Young, dropped twice on five, made India pay with a career-best 125 off 108 balls, his fifth ODI century and his first against India. Seifert made his maiden ODI fifty, 58 off 48. Finn Allen added a quickfire 41 off 30, and late runs from Santner, Clarke and Jamieson lifted New Zealand to 333 all out off the final ball of the innings.

India’s reply was over before it began. Matt Henry, making his only appearance of the series before departing for Test duties, produced a triple-wicket maiden with the first over: Rohit Sharma edged the first ball to slip for a golden duck, Virat Kohli was bowled for a four-ball duck, and Shreyas Iyer was trapped LBW first ball. India were 0 for 3 after one over, the first time in India’s ODI history that three wickets fell before a run was scored. Ishan Kishan top-scored with 27, but Henry finished with career-best figures of 6 for 27 and India were bowled out for 89 in 26.4 overs.

What Is at Stake in the Fifth ODI

An India win on Sunday seals the series 3-1 and ends New Zealand’s run of 11 consecutive home ODI series wins, a streak stretching back to the start of 2020. A New Zealand win squares the series 2-2 and keeps that home record alive. For India, the match is also about pride after being bowled out for 89, with Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli both dismissed for ducks in the fourth ODI.

New Zealand vs India ODI Head-to-Head Record

India hold the overall edge: 127 ODIs, 65 wins to New Zealand’s 53, with one tie and eight no-results. New Zealand, though, have always been a different proposition at home, where they won 26 of the 45 ODIs against India played on their soil before this series began, and where India had not won a single ODI for more than seven years before this tour.

Bay Oval Pitch Report for the Fifth ODI

Bay Oval is one of New Zealand’s truest batting decks, with consistent bounce and even carry, and the drop-in surface flattens out once the early moisture burns off. New Zealand posted 333 here on Friday, and the average first-innings score at the venue sits around 268. The highest successful chase at Bay Oval is 300 for 5, recorded against India in 2020, so a big first-innings total is far from safe.

There will be some help for the seamers with the new ball in the morning, with mild sea breezes and early moisture offering brief lateral movement. After Friday’s evidence, the team winning the toss is more than likely to bat first and put runs on the board. The forecast is not as clear as it was for the fourth ODI: Mount Maunganui is expected to be cloudy with a chance of morning drizzle and a few showers later in the afternoon, with a high near 20 degrees Celsius.

New Zealand vs India Squads for the Fifth ODI

India squad for the fourth and fifth ODIs: Shreyas Iyer (captain), Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Tilak Varma, Ishan Kishan (vice-captain and wicketkeeper), Axar Patel, Naman Dhir, Auqib Nabi, Gurnoor Brar, Ruturaj Gaikwad, Arshdeep Singh, Kumar Kushagra (wicketkeeper), Mohammed Siraj, Yash Thakur, Kuldeep Yadav.

Shubman Gill, KL Rahul and Anshul Kamboj have left the ODI squad to prepare for the two-Test series, which starts on November 19 at the Basin Reserve in Wellington. Shreyas Iyer is captaining India in ODIs for the first time, with Ishan Kishan as his deputy, and Tilak Varma, Yash Thakur and Kumar Kushagra joined the squad for the final two matches.

New Zealand squad news: Mitchell Santner captains the side. Matt Henry has departed for Test duties after his match-winning six-wicket haul in the fourth ODI, so he will not play the decider. Josh Clarkson has come into the group for the fifth ODI, and Blair Tickner is also listed after his concussion stand-down. Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips and Tom Latham were rested for the ODI series, while Kyle Jamieson, who took the field in the fourth ODI, remains available. Ferguson is out with a calf tear and Devon Conway is out after his concussion, with Nick Kelly called up as cover.

NZ vs IND 5th ODI Probable Playing XIs

India Probable XI

Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer (c), Ishan Kishan (wk), Tilak Varma, Axar Patel, Naman Dhir, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Gurnoor Brar.

Siraj may return after sitting out the fourth ODI, and Tilak Varma could replace Ruturaj Gaikwad, who fell for 5 on Friday. Kuldeep Yadav had a forgettable first match of the tour, going wicketless for 73 runs in eight overs, but India are unlikely to drop their frontline wrist-spinner for a decider. Auqib Nabi, who took 2 for 59 on Friday, is the other seam option.

New Zealand Probable XI

Will Young, Tim Seifert, Nick Kelly, Dean Foxcroft, Finn Allen, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Kristian Clarke, Kyle Jamieson, Matthew Fisher, Josh Clarkson.

With Henry gone, Josh Clarkson is the natural replacement, while Matthew Fisher keeps his place. Will Young, fresh from his career-best 125, and Tim Seifert, who made his maiden ODI fifty on Friday, will again open the batting.

Key Battles to Watch in the Fifth ODI

• Will Young vs Arshdeep Singh: Young managed only 15 runs from the first two matches before his career-best 125, and he now has that confidence behind him. Arshdeep, who took 1 for 55 on Friday, must strike early with the new ball.
• Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli vs Kyle Jamieson: Both fell for ducks in the fourth ODI, and Jamieson removed Gaikwad in the powerplay. How India’s top order handles the tall seamer’s bounce will set the tone.
• Shreyas Iyer vs Mitchell Santner: Iyer, captaining India in ODIs for the first time, was trapped LBW first ball on Friday. Santner, New Zealand’s captain and most reliable spinner, made 24 with the bat in the fourth ODI and will fancy his chances against India’s middle order again.
• Ishan Kishan vs the new ball: Kishan top-scored with 27 in the fourth ODI and survived Henry’s hat-trick ball. As vice-captain and wicketkeeper, he is the one Indian batter who looked comfortable on Friday.
• Finn Allen vs Kuldeep Yadav: Allen’s 41 off 30 changed the tempo of New Zealand’s innings on Friday. Kuldeep, who went for 73 runs in eight overs, needs to find his length against a batter who attacks spin from the first ball.

NZ vs IND 5th ODI Match Prediction: Who Will Win?

New Zealand will take enormous confidence from Friday’s 244-run win, and they have not lost a home ODI series since 2020. But the fourth ODI was an aberration as much as a statement: it was the first time in India’s ODI history that three wickets fell before a run was scored, and a collapse of that kind rarely repeats in the very next game. Just as importantly, Matt Henry, who destroyed India with 6 for 27, is not available for the decider, so New Zealand’s attack loses its sharpest edge.

India won the first two ODIs of this series, and their batting, with Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer all due a score, is far stronger than the 89 all out suggested. Expect a far tighter contest on a good Bay Oval surface, with India batting first if they win the toss. Our prediction: India to win the fifth ODI and take the series 3-1.

NZ vs IND 5th ODI FAQs

When is the NZ vs IND 5th ODI?

The fifth ODI between New Zealand and India will be played on Sunday, November 15, 2026, at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, starting at 7:30 AM IST.

What is the series score before the fifth ODI?

India lead the five-match series 2-1. India won the first two ODIs, the third ODI in Hamilton was washed out without a ball being bowled, and New Zealand won the fourth ODI by 244 runs.

Who is captaining India in the fifth ODI?

Shreyas Iyer, with Ishan Kishan as vice-captain. Shubman Gill and KL Rahul have left the squad to prepare for the Test series starting November 19.

Will Matt Henry play the fifth ODI?

No. Henry made his only appearance of the series in the fourth match, taking 6 for 27, before departing for Test duties. Josh Clarkson has joined the squad for the decider.

Where can I watch the NZ vs IND 5th ODI live in India?

The match will be telecast live on the Sony Sports Network and streamed on SonyLIV in India.